Throughout the U.S. in 2011, solar farm installation demand is estimated to reach 1750MW led by the utility scale installations. Given the fifteen percent yoy drop in panel prices per watt, unsubsidized project build expenditures will probably decrease to five to six dollars per watt for non-commercial scale and $3.75-$4 for utility scale, which in turn will help push the USA market demand up 119% year in and year out in 2011 versus eight hundred megawatts in 2010. Based on the latest additions in energy policy legislation, Commercial Solar Design proposes higher chances of an extension of treasury hard cash grant-in-lieu of 30% ITC (investment tax credit), which could quite possibly add substantially to the upside of Commercial Solar Design's forecast and improve solar farm investment significantly.

Non-residential installations will achieve an increased share of the USA photovoltaic market with seventy six percent of the market in 2011, way up from 69% in 2010 (136% yoy). In terms of the regulatory landscape, despite the fact that the critical wide-ranging energy reform bill appears to have been removed from the table, the "domestic manufacturing and energy jobs" bill introduced in the House in late July included an extension for the hard cash grant-in-lieu of thirty percent investment tax credit (ITC) . Commercial Solar Design is hinting that that there is a greater likelihood of passage for this bill in congress once the Congress assembles following the August recess. This unique bill is then expected to be combined with the impending energy bill in the the House or may very well be attached to the tax extender's bill later on this year. Overall, passage of renewable energy tax credit is certainly high on the agenda of tax committees in the US Congress.

The discussion draft of "Domestic Manufacturing and Energy Jobs Act of 2010" circulated in the last week of July includes that the extension of the cash grant program for two years is the key solar power subject within the bill. The draft limits the much anticipated climate change bill including "cap and trade" together with a nationwide RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard). This watered down package of the "energy" bill is expected to be approved in the House when Congress resumes following the August recess the week of Sept 13th. Even so solar farm investment can continue with acceptable IRR (internal rate of return) with or without the need for a 1603 extension

The Treasury hard cash grant-in-lieu of the 30% ITC (investment tax credit) program was launched in August 2009 to give an upfront cash grant equal to 30% of the applicable installation price to the alternative energy contractors plus developers and including commercial and utility scale projects. A considerable majority of the contractors and developers did not have taxable income to make use of the thirty percent ITC (investment tax credit), and so, the cash grant program became a big incentive for the photovoltaic contractors/developers. Due to the fact there was a lack of understanding around the taxability of the hard cash grant until late April the incentive was basically underutilized.

The Treasury hard cash grant program was a major success and extension of the program will furnish considerable upside to solar farm investment and demand estimates in 2011.

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